Bu Ali Sina University Two Quarterly Journal of Contemporary Sociological Research 2476-6305 10 18 2021 08 23 Development of Future Scenarios of Family Values in Iran Using Wizard Scenario Development of Future Scenarios of Family Values in Iran Using Wizard Scenario 63 89 4274 10.22084/csr.2021.22103.1828 FA Mohsen Niazi Professor, Department of Social Sciences, Faculty of Humanities, Kashan University, Kashan, Iran 0000-0001-7544-1028 Esmaeil Mazrouei Assistant Professor of Management, Faculty of Humanities, Kashan University, Kashan, Iran Shiva Aghabozorgizadeh PhD Student in Social Sciences, Department of Social Sciences, Faculty of Humanities, Kashan University, Kashan, Iran 0000-0002-3437-5762 Journal Article 2020 07 13 The family is the most fundamental social institution that transmits values ​​to the new generation. These values ​​play an essential role in the development of individuals. Today, along with the changes that have occurred in various areas of society, the area of the family and its values ​​have also changed, so the present study seeks alternative futures for the family. Actually, this paper focuses on futurology and scenario planning on the future of family values ​​in Iran using cross-sectional analysis and CIB. The results of the research are related to the year 2019 and the future horizon is the year 2039. In the first stage, 17 experts in the field of social sciences were given a questionnaire. In the second and third stages, panels of 10 experts were formed. Scores were inserted into the cross-sectional matrix to measure the effectiveness and effectiveness of each factor. Double-digit variables were analyzed in MicMac software as scenario software input and 4 compatible scenarios were obtained. The most desirable scenario is scenario number 1, which emphasizes the ideal situation of the family and increases its power in freedom of action and new laws. The most unfavorable scenario is scenario number 4, which reduces the power of the family to the point of collapse and this collapse occurs in a society that faces all kinds of limitations in different areas. The family is the most fundamental social institution that transmits values ​​to the new generation. These values ​​play an essential role in the development of individuals. Today, along with the changes that have occurred in various areas of society, the area of the family and its values ​​have also changed, so the present study seeks alternative futures for the family. Actually, this paper focuses on futurology and scenario planning on the future of family values ​​in Iran using cross-sectional analysis and CIB. The results of the research are related to the year 2019 and the future horizon is the year 2039. In the first stage, 17 experts in the field of social sciences were given a questionnaire. In the second and third stages, panels of 10 experts were formed. Scores were inserted into the cross-sectional matrix to measure the effectiveness and effectiveness of each factor. Double-digit variables were analyzed in MicMac software as scenario software input and 4 compatible scenarios were obtained. The most desirable scenario is scenario number 1, which emphasizes the ideal situation of the family and increases its power in freedom of action and new laws. The most unfavorable scenario is scenario number 4, which reduces the power of the family to the point of collapse and this collapse occurs in a society that faces all kinds of limitations in different areas. https://csr.basu.ac.ir/article_4274_ddf88ea64eaed0f3de5531ac964a0a1a.pdf